The United States and China may never be able to reach a trade deal because of the difficulty in resolving the relatively few remaining issues on the table, a top U.S. official said Tuesday.
During an interview at CNBC’s Capital Exchange event in Washington, White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow said he was an optimist by nature and still believed a deal was possible. But he used a football analogy involving his favorite team to illustrate the potential for the Trump administration to fall short.
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“It’s like being on the seven-yard line at a football game,” Kudlow said. “And as a long suffering New York Giants fan, they could be on the seven and they never get the ball to the end zone.”
“When you get down to the last 10 percent, seven-yard line, it’s tough,” he added, referring to the negotiations.
Despite such hurdles, President Donald Trump told his advisers on Monday that he wanted a deal and he believed Chinese President Xi Jinping wanted one too, Kudlow said.
The most important thing is that the two sides are talking again after a hiatus of almost two months, Kudlow stressed. That will include a phone call this week between chief negotiators for each side.
In contrast to the administration’s hope that Congress will quickly approve the USMCA, “China will take longer,” Kudlow said. “There is no time limit on China. There is no speed. We want a good deal.”
Talks between the two countries broke down in early May, after the United States accused China of backsliding on commitments it made related to changing various laws to satisfy the U.S. demands.
“Our team, time and again, asked for the change in Chinese laws and resistance mounted on that point,” Kudlow said. “They seem to believe that the State Security Council, or the Politburo, can promulgate regulations and that would be sufficient. We don’t agree.”
China also backed away from commitments it made involving monitoring and enforcement of the pact, Kudlow said. “Without going into details, we thought we had agreement on certain issues and monitoring and that turned out not to be the case,” he said.
Now, “various power centers” in China are pushing for what that they describe as a “fair and equitable agreement,” Kudlow said. “I understand that. But we have a very unbalanced trading relationship with them. Consequently, in our view, we would like to see remedies and correctives on a number of fronts.”
Kudlow also reiterated the president’s expectation that China would quickly begin making major purchases of U.S. agricultural products while the talks resume.
“Soybeans, wheat and energy, possibly. That’s very, very important,” Kudlow said. However, no such sales have been reported in the 10 days since Xi and Trump agreed to restart talks.